SHIB Price Prediction: Path to $1 Amid Technical Consolidation and Regulatory Tailwinds

#SHIB

• Technical indicators show oversold conditions near lower Bollinger Band support
• SEC regulatory clarity provides fundamental bullish catalyst for broader crypto market
• Top wallet accumulation contrasts with recent price weakness, suggesting potential reversal

SHIB Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SHIB Shows Mixed Signals Near Key Support

SHIB is currently trading at $0.00001254, below its 20-day moving average of $0.00001282, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD reading of -0.00000023 suggests weakening momentum, though the histogram shows minimal divergence. Price action NEAR the lower Bollinger Band at $0.00001170 could indicate oversold conditions, potentially offering support. According to BTCC financial analyst Michael, 'The convergence around the lower band often precedes consolidation phases, but traders should watch for a break below $0.00001170 for further downside risk.'

Market Sentiment: Regulatory Clarity Offsets Short-Term Weakness

Recent news highlights contrasting forces affecting SHIB. While the token faces an 11% weekly decline and bearish technical grounds, the SEC's clarification that most tokens aren't securities provides fundamental support. Additionally, accumulation by top wallets suggests institutional confidence despite price slippage. Michael notes, 'The regulatory clarity is a significant bullish catalyst long-term, though short-term technical headwinds may persist. Wallet accumulation patterns often precede price reversals in crypto markets.'

Factors Influencing SHIB's Price

Shiba Inu’s 11% Weekly Loss May Signal Bullish Divergence

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has declined 11% over the past week, yet on-chain metrics suggest a potential reversal. Santiment data reveals a seven-day high in weighted sentiment at 1.153, indicating growing trader Optimism despite price weakness.

The divergence between falling prices and rising sentiment often precedes trend reversals. Market participants appear to be accumulating SHIB during this downturn, betting on a meme coin resurgence. Social media tone and mention volume have turned decisively positive.

SEC Signals Most Tokens Aren’t Securities: Implications for SHIB and Crypto Market

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins has signaled a pivotal shift in crypto regulation, asserting that only a limited subset of tokens should be classified as securities. Speaking at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, Atkins emphasized the SEC's Project Crypto initiative while clarifying that tokens themselves aren't inherently securities—it's the surrounding circumstances that determine classification.

The regulatory clarity comes as Congress advances the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, creating parallel paths for crypto oversight. Market participants now face a landscape where meme coins like SHIB may avoid securities scrutiny, while projects with more complex tokenomics could face heightened examination.

Shiba Inu Price Slips on Bearish Grounds, But Top Wallets Signal a Twist

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has declined by over 17% in the past month, with bearish momentum gaining traction. Daily active addresses have dwindled to 3,148, nearing monthly lows—a concerning trend given that previous price surges were preceded by spikes in network activity.

Technical indicators reinforce the downtrend. The Bull-Bear Power (BBP) metric shows increasing selling pressure, suggesting bears are wresting control. Yet a countervailing force emerges: the Chaikin Money FLOW (CMF) remains above zero, hinting at persistent accumulation by large holders despite the slump.

Market observers note the divergence between weakening retail participation and steadfast whale activity. This dichotomy mirrors August's pattern when a sudden jump in active addresses preceded an immediate price rebound. Whether history repeats may depend on whether retail traders follow whales' lead.

Will SHIB Price Hit 1?

Reaching $1 would require an approximately 79,800,000% increase from current levels, making it highly improbable in the foreseeable future given SHIB's massive circulating supply of 589 trillion tokens. For context:

Michael suggests, 'While massive burns or unprecedented adoption could theoretically support higher prices, $1 remains mathematically challenging. Focus on gradual growth rather than unrealistic targets.'